Golden Globes Preview – My Predictions
Tomorrow night, Ricky Gervais will retake the stage as the host of the Golden Globes. Insults aside, the nominations for the Globes this year were interesting as always. On the movies side we saw great films from all of 2011 seeing recognition. I must admit my own disappointment with the TV nominations and therefore my predictions will only focus on the movies. Below I will list my ideas of who will win, and in a few cases, should win instead.
Best Picture Drama:
Of the six films nominated, I would say that The Ides of March has the smallest chance of winning. Moneyball won’t win because it’s award’s campaign hasn’t been as strong as the other films nominated. Sadly, Hugo won’t win because it is a kids movie, despite it being the best of the bunch. That leaves The Descendants, The Help, and War Horse. The Help features great performances but aside from that not much else. War Horse‘s awards hype has me scratching my head as I hated it, but the hype surrounding it has subsided in the past week. I think the Hollywood Foreign Press will reward the intensely emotion and sometimes hilarious Alexander Payne film.
Will Win: The Descendants. Should Win: Hugo.
Best Actress Drama:
The race here is really between Viola Davis and Meryl Streep. However, reviews of The Iron Lady haven’t been too optimistic despite Streep’s supposedly spectacular performance. As for the others nominations Glenn Close and Tilda Swinton have pretty much been swept under the rug, but wouldn’t it be a nice surprise if Rooney Mara won for her electrifying portrayal of Lisbeth Salander in The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo? Mara showed an amazing commitment to the role and brought this fascinating character to the screen perfectly. She deserves it.
Will Win: Viola Davis for The Help. Should Win: Rooney Mara for The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo.
Best Actor Drama:
You can easily count out Leonardo DiCaprio and Ryan Gosling here. Michael Fassbender could potentially sneak out a win here but this race really belongs to two superstars. Clooney and Pitt both gave fantastic performances in The Descendants and Moneyball respectively. However, I believe that neither of them was a career best. I actually think Pitt was better in The Tree of Life. As for Clooney, his performance was much more in his range. Pitt’s portrayal of Billy Beane was just different enough from many of his other roles to warrant it a win, but Descendants is also a favorite for Best Picture.
Will Win: George Clooney for The Descendants. Should Win: Brad Pitt for Moneyball.
Best Picture Comedy or Musical:
First off, why was My Week With Marilyn nominated in the comedy or musical category? It is definitely a drama more than anything else. As for Bridesmaids and 50/50, they are a bit too lighthearted to take home the trophy. That leaves Midnight in Paris and The Artist, two incredibly smart films. However, The Artist is much more of an achievement in filmmaking than Woody Allen’s French comedy. The Artist deserves a win and is quite easily the best film in the category.
Will and Should Win: The Artist.
Best Actress Comedy or Musical:
You can count out the two nominations from Carnage. That film has gotten almost no awards attention and even though both Jodie Foster and Kate Winslet are great actresses, I expect they will be ignored. Same goes for Kristen Wiig since Bridesmaids is easily the least serious of all these performances. A win for Charlize Theron in Young Adult wouldn’t be terribly surprising, but I think Michelle Williams will win this one. Her dark portrayal of Marilyn Monroe was beyond captivating and even though My Week With Marilyn is hardly a comedy, her performance is the best of the bunch.
Will and Should Win: Michelle Williams for My Week With Marilyn.
Best Actor Comedy or Musical:
Has anyone even seen, let alone heard of, The Guard, the movie that Brenden Gleeson is nominated for? You can count him out. Owen Wilson, Ryan Gosling, and Joseph Gordon-Levitt were all great in there movies but there performances didn’t quite require enough emotion to warrant a win. Jean Dujardin, star of The Artist, is a lock for this one. Without speaking a word he was captivating and deeply affecting.
Will and Should Win: Jean Dujardin for The Artist.
Best Animated Film:
I have to admit, Rango is the only film nominated here that I have seen. However, I am confident enough that it will win and deserves to win since it was such a different, yet fun animated movie. As for the other nominees, Cars 2 was considered Pixar’s first failure and Puss in Boots was a spinoff of a dying franchise. Arthur Christmas really looked like nothing special which just leaves Tintin. But based on War Horse, Spielberg’s creativity and intellect are slipping fast.
Will and Should Win: Rango.
Best Foreign Film:
Again I have to confess something, I have not seen any of the nominated foreign films. From what I hear, The Flowers of War and In the Land of Blood and Honey were nothing special. Also the only foreign film anyone cares to talk about is A Separation.
Will Win: A Separation.
Best Supporting Actress:
This category is stacked. Octavia Spencer, Berenice Bejo, and Shailene Woodley all deserve to win. Janet McTeer hasn’t really seen much hype surround her and like Brad Pitt, Jessica Chastain gave a better performance in The Tree of Life than the movie she is nominated for. Berenice Bejo was amazing in The Artist and like her leading man had an amazing screen presence while not speaking a word. But all the awards hype is going to Octavia Spencer for The Help.
Will Win: Octavia Spencer for The Help. Should Win: Berenice Bejo for The Artist.
Best Supporting Actor:
This one is easy. Christopher Plummer knocked Beginners right out of the park. Albert Brooks’ nomination for Drive is a bit puzzling to me. Jonah Hill and Viggo Mortensen both deserve recognition but they won’t win. Plummer’s only true competition is Kenneth Branagh for My Week With Marilyn, but I doubt he can overtake the most honest performance of this legend’s career.
Will and Should Win: Christopher Plummer for Beginners.
This category is full of very talented directors. Just listen to some of the names: Woody Allen, George Clooney, Alexander Payne, and Martin Scorsese. But are any of them going to win? No, and they shouldn’t. The fifth nominee is Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist, and he will win. The only other possibility if Alexander Payne if The Descendants wins the best picture drama category, but even so The Artist required a creative genius to work and luckily it had one.
Will and Should Win: Michel Havanavicius for The Artist.
Aaron Sorkin’s creative stamp is all over Moneyball and it deserves a win for its sharp screenplay and brilliantly real dialogue. The Artist‘s nomination here makes sense in a way but it is still a silent film and I doubt it will win over voters in this category. It could be beat out by The Descendants or Midnight in Paris but I seriously doubt that Aaron Sorkin will get ignored.
Will and Should Win: Steven Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin for Moneyball.
Best Original Score:
You can pretty easily count out the scores for W.E. and Hugo, but everything else is fair game. John Williams’ wonderful score for War Horse could snag a win. However, The Artist, heavily relies on its music and I expect that the voters will recognize that and vote it in for a win. That being said, the best score nominated is Trent Reznor’s haunting composition for The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo. The opening credits alone warrant a win for this one.
Will Win: Ludovic Bource for The Artist. Should Win: Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross for The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Best Original Song:
All five songs nominated are pretty good. I prefer the duet version of Elton John’s Hello, Hello featuring Lady Gaga but that version isn’t nominated. Lay Your Head Down could win but my bet is on Mary J. Blige’s song for The Help, The Living Proof. It is an inspiring and upbeat song, the type of stuff the voters will probably instantly go for. However something has to be said for Madonna’s ballad Masterpiece, which lives up to its title. It is the best song nominated by far.
Will Win: The Living Proof by Mary J. Blige for The Help. Should Win: Masterpiece by Madonna for W.E.
So do you agree with my predictions? Who do you want to win? Sound off in the comments section! Check back after the Globes for an article about the Globes and what they could mean for the Oscars!
photo credit: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1033575/